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Valuation When Cash Flow Forecasts Are Biased
Forecasting and Prediction Cash Flow Cost of Capital Performance Expectations Prejudice and Bias Valuation
2015/4/23
This paper focuses adaptations to the discount cash flow (DCF) method when valuing forecasted cash flows that are biased measures of expected cash flows. I imagine a simple setting where the expected ...
CEO and CFO Career Penalties to Missing Quarterly Analysts Forecasts
Earnings Management Governing and Advisory Boards Compensation and Benefits Managerial Roles Personal Development and Career
2015/4/22
We find that missing the quarterly analyst consensus earnings forecast is associated with career penalties in the form of a reduced bonus, smaller equity grants, and a greater chance of forced dismiss...
Volatility forecasts and the at-the-money implied volatility: a multi-components ARCH approach and its relation with market models
Volatility forecasts at-the-money implied relation
2010/10/29
For a given time horizon T, this article explores the relationship between the realized volatility (the volatility that will occur between t and t + T), the implied volatility (corresponding to at-t...