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Puget Sound is one of the best places in the United States to capture energy from tides. As water in the Sound rises and falls twice daily at high and low tide, strong underwater currents move swiftly...
We present two alternative approaches for estimating VaR. Both approaches are based on the observation that each trading day is very diverse and we can observe K different phases of the trading day. W...
We introduce a numerical algorithm for solving dynamic economic models that merges stochastic simulation and projection approaches: we use simulation to approximate the ergodic measure of the solution...
Expanding College Opportunities for High-Achieving, Low Income Students.
aWe show that the vast majority of low-income high achievers do not apply to any selective college. This is despite the fact that selective institutions typically cost them less, owing to generous fin...
The decisions that young people make about college – where to apply, where to attend, how to finance their education, and what course of study to pursue – can greatly affect whether they achieve their...
Using a recursive empirical model of the real interest rate, GDP growth and the primary government deficit in the United States, I solve for the ergodic distribution of the debt/GDP ratio. If such a d...
A financial friction is a wedge between the return received by providers of financial capital–ultimately, consumers–and the cost of capital paid by businesses and consumers who use capital. I study tw...
Financial literacy and cognitive capabilities are convincingly linked to the quality of financial decision-making. Yet, there is little evidence that education intended to improve financial decision-m...
Strategy-proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences:Redesigning the NYC High School Match.
We analyze funeral arrangements following the deaths of 3,751 people who died between January 2003 and December 2005 in the Africa Centre Demographic Surveillance Area. We find that, on average, house...
Severe limitations on antitrust enforcement officials’ knowledge and the potential impact of ill-advised investigations and prosecutions on markets suggest that officials should exercise extraordinar...
This paper reports some of the recent developments in the econometric analysis of semimartingales estimated using high frequency financial returns. It describes a simple yet powerful methodology to de...
Abstract.In this paper we perform a statistical analysis of the high-frequency re-turns of theIbex35Madrid stock exchange index. We nd that its probability distri-bution seems to be stable over di er...
We introduce a trade strategy representation theorem for performance measurement and portable alpha in high fre-quency trading, by embedding a robust trading algorithm that describe portfolio manager ...

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