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Combination Bidding in Spectrum Auctions.
Combination Forecasts of Output Growth in a Seven-Country Data Set
macroeconomic forecasting high-dimensional forecasting timevarying parameters forecast pooling
2014/3/18
This paper uses forecast combination methods to forecast output growth in a seven-country quarterly economic data set covering 1959–1999, with up to 73 predictors per country. Although the forecasts b...
A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination
Combination forecasts principal component regression James-Stein estimation
2014/3/18
A panel of ex-ante forecasts of a single time series is modeled as a dynamic factor model, where the conditional expectation is the single unobserved factor. When applied to out-of-sample forecasting,...