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It is widely known that shifts of cohort fertility schedule can produce misleading trends in period TFR. This note shows that such a "tempo bias" can occur in age-specific mortality as well: if the ag...
Introduction to the Special Collection “Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place：The 1st HMD Symposium”
Human Mortality Age Time Sex HMD
2008/12/11
This introduction to the special collection “Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place: The 1st HMD Symposium” describes the Human Mortality Database project and briefly summarizes the Special Co...
Decomposition analysis of Spanish life expectancy at birth Evolution and changes in the components by sex and age
decomposition health health transition human mortality database life expectancy mortality mortality trends Spain
2008/12/11
Using data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD), the paper analyzes the increase in the life expectancy of the Spanish population during the three decades, 1970-2001, in order to ascertain which ag...
Modelling regional variation of first-time births in Denmark 1980-1994 by an age-period-cohort model
age-period-cohort models Denmark fertility fertility rate nulliparous women regional
2008/12/11
Despite the small size of Denmark, there have traditionally been rather consistent regional differences in fertility rates. We apply the statistical age-period-cohort model to include the effect of th...
Decline in Human Cancer Incidence Rates at Old Ages: Age-Period-Cohort Considerations
age-period-cohort models cancer incidence multistage theory
2008/12/9
Analysis of age-specific trajectories of cancer incidence rates for all sites combined (data source: International Agency for Research on Cancer) reveals a leveling-off and decline of the rates at old...
Estimating time-varying sex-age-specific o/e rates of marital status transitions in family household projection or simulation
family household marriage projections simulation
2008/12/9
This article presents a procedure for estimating time-varying sex-age-specific occurrence/exposure (o/e) rates of marital status transitions to ensure that the projected life course propensities of ma...
Education at home：the age-specific pattern of migration between the Netherlands and the former Dutch East Indies around 1930
age structure age/aging, census colonial times Dutch East Indies education Europe Europeans Indonesia migration secondary education
2008/12/9
The 1930 population census of the former Dutch East Indies (currently Indonesia) shows for the European population a striking shortage in the age range 10-20. This paper deals with the possible causes...
On the tempo and quantum of first marriages in Austria, Germany, and Switzerland Changes in mean age and variance
age-period interactions Austria first marriages Germany marriage mean age and variance changes tempo and quantum effects
2008/12/9
Period marriage rates have been falling dramatically in most industrial societies since the beginning of the 1970s. As has been shown in the literature, part of this decline is due to the postponement...
Seasonal mortality in Denmark the role of sex and age
age effect mortality seasonal fluctuations sex differentials
2008/12/9
Our paper addresses two questions on seasonal mortality: How do women and men differ with respect to seasonal fluctuations in mortality? How does seasonality in death change with age? The analysis is ...
Seasonal mortality in Denmark the role of sex and age
age effect mortality seasonal fluctuations sex differentials
2008/12/5
Our paper addresses two questions on seasonal mortality: How do women and men differ with respect to seasonal fluctuations in mortality? How does seasonality in death change with age? The analysis is ...
Is nursing home demand affected by the decline in age difference between spouses?
age/aging long-term care marriage nursing home
2008/12/4
We investigate whether declines in the age difference between spouses has influenced widowhood and nursing home demand. We first use life-table methods to simulate the impact of the declining age gap ...
In this paper, we analyze seasonality of deaths by age and cause in the U.S. using public use files for the years 1994 to 1998 by the methods of regression and a variation of Census Method II. We answ...
Old-Age Mortality in Germany prior to and after Reunification
Germany Life-expectancy mortality oldest-old German reunification
2008/11/28
Recent trends in German life expectancy show a considerable increase. Most of this increase has resulted from decreasing mortality at older ages. Patterns of oldest old mortality (ages 80+) differed s...
Frailty Modelling for Adult and Old Age Mortality：The Application of a Modified DeMoivre Hazard Function to Sex Differentials in Mortality
mortality frailty models hazard functions male-female differences Bulgaria
2008/11/28
Unobserved differences in individual’s susceptibility to death are an important aspect in the analysis of contemporary mortality patterns. However, observed mortality rates at adult ages, which are us...
Sex differentials in survival in the Canadian population, 1921-1997：A descriptive analysis with focus on age-specific structure
mortality mortality trends Canada sex differences in human mortality contour maps intensity regression
2008/11/28
This paper demonstrates how intensity regression and methods for visualizing demographic data can be applied to the study of sex differentials in survival in the Canadian population over the period 19...