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Generalized martingale model of the uncertainty evolution of streamflow forecasts
Forecast uncertainty Forecast improvement Martingale model of forecast evolution Normal quantile transform Rolling horizon reservoir operation
2013/7/25
Streamflow forecasts are dynamically updated in real-time, thus facilitating a process of forecast uncertainty evolution. Forecast uncertaintygenerally decreases over time and as more hydrologic...
Reducing the uncertainty in indirect estimates of extreme flash flood discharges
Reducing uncertainty indirect estimation flash flood discharges
2013/9/13
Direct current meter measurements are rarely available for extreme flash floods. Corresponding discharges are generally estimated using so-called “indirect” techniques such as the slope – area method....
The Monte Carlo-Based Uncertainty Health Risk Assessment Associated with Rural Drinking Water Quality
Monte Carlo Health Risk Water Quality Triangular Fuzzy-Number Mingshan County
2013/3/19
In this study, Triangular Fuzzy-number of the Fuzzy Set Theory was introduced to reform parameters of those previous health risk assessment (HRA) models, Monte Carlo simulation parameter was applied t...
Calibration of a distributed flood forecasting model with input uncertainty using a Bayesian framework
a distributed flood nput uncertainty a Bayesian framework
2013/7/25
In the process of calibrating distributed hydrological models, accounting for inputuncertainty is important, yet challenging. In this study, we develop a Bayesian model toestimate parameters associate...
Geostatistical Modeling of Uncertainty for the Risk Analysis of a Contaminated Site
Uncertainty Modeling Multivariate Geostatistical Simulations Risk Analysis Environmental Pollution Remediation Project
2013/3/20
This work is a study of multivariate simulations of pollutants to assess the sampling uncertainty for the risk analysis of a contaminated site. The study started from data collected for a remediation ...
Effect of streamflow forecast uncertainty on real-time reservoir operation
Streamfl ow forecast uncertainty Real-time reservoir operation Deterministic streamfl ow forecast Probabilistic streamfl ow forecast Martingale Model of Forecast Evolution
2013/7/25
Various hydrological forecast products have been applied to real-time reservoir operation, includingdeterministic streamflow forecast (DSF), DSF-based probabilistic streamflow forecast (ps...
Uncertainty Analysis of Interpolation Methods in Rainfall Spatial Distribution–A Case of Small Catchment in Lyon
Rainfall Spatial Distribution Kriging Interpolation
2013/3/21
Quantification of spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall is an important step toward developing regional water sewage models, the intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall can affect the magni...