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Simulation-based Parameter Estimation for Complex Models: A Breast Cancer Natural History Modelling Illustration
Simulation-based Parameter Estimation Complex Models Breast Cancer Natural History Modelling Illustration
2015/7/6
Simulation-based parameter estimation offers a powerful means of estimating parameters in complex stochastic models. We illustrate the application of these ideas in the setting of a natural history mo...
A Natural History Model of Stage Progression Applied to Breast Cancer
natural history model stage progression breast cancer SEER tumour growth
2015/7/6
Invasive breast cancer is commonly staged as local, regional or distant disease. We present a stochastic model of the natural history of invasive breast cancer that quantifies (1) the relative rate th...
'Power from Sunshine': A Business History of Solar Energy
Renewable Energy Business History Policy Entrepreneurship Innovation and Invention Business Model
2015/4/27
This working paper provides a longitudinal perspective on the business history of solar energy between the nineteenth century and the present day. It covers early attempts to develop solar energy, the...
Sharing criminal history record information: the Interstate Identification Index
criminal history records criminal justice agencies
2014/11/26
Sharing criminal history record information: the Interstate Identification Index.
U.S. TRADE POLICY：HISTORY AND EVIDENCE
U.S. TRADE POLICY protectionism trading nations tariffs
2008/12/8
For the past 13 years, U.S. trade policy has been on a steady course
toward increased protectionism. A policy to reduce tariffs across the
board among all trading nations has been paralleled by effo...
DEPOSIT INSURANCE：A HISTORY OF FAILURE
Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation savings and loan
2008/12/3
The failures in 1985 of deposit insurance programs in Maryland and
Ohio, along with the present difficulties of the Federal Savings and
Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) andthe Federal Deposit Insu...
THE USE OF LABELS IN DOCTRINAL HISTORY：COMMENT ON BAIRD
Charles Baird modern Austrian economics
2008/12/3
In his lively and provocative paper, Charles Baird seeks to establish
that “the economics of James Buchanan has much in common with
modern Austrian economics.” I am prepared to agree that Baird has
...
In 1988 labor union membership in the United States declined to
16.8 percent of the labor force. In the private sector the figure was
13 percent, and in government employment it was 37 percent (BNA,...
A BRIEF HISTORY OF THE AUSTRALIAN NOTES ISSUE BOARD, 1920–24
NOTES ISSUE AUSTRALIAN Treasury
2008/11/13
In 1920 Australia transferred control of the note issue from the
Treasury to a newly created authority, the Notes Issue Board. This
paper recounts the background to the Board’s establishment, the
p...
MELTZER’S HISTORY OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND THE EVOLUTION OF CENTRAL BANKING
FEDERAL RESERVE CENTRAL BANKING EVOLUTION
2008/11/9
The Great Monetary Paradox
Most conventional economists are very much aware of markets.
Indeed, a sound understanding of the function of markets and prices
is what distinguishes economists from eve...
A MONETARY HISTORY FROM A POLICYMAKER’S PERSPECTIVE
MONETARY HISTORY PERSPECTIVE POLICYMAKER money growth
2008/11/7
The introduction to A Monetary History starts with this sentence:
“This book is about the stock of money in the United States” (p. 3).
Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz show convincingly that failur...
A MONETARY HISTORY AS A MODEL FOR HISTORIANS
MONETARY HISTORY American Bankers Association
2008/11/7
In 1963, the American Bankers Association invited the late James
Tobin and me to review A Monetary History of the United States at
a conference held at Princeton. At the time, I wrote and subsequent...
I doubt that those who were present at the publication of A Monetary
History would have predicted that it would still attract readers
after 40 years. I can think of two reasons for this unexpected o...
It is a source of real gratification that Anna Schwartz’s and my book
should be deemed worthy of a retrospective after 40 years. The extensive
research of the past 40 years plus the additional 40 ye...
The unfamiliar, however simple, is often hard to understand because
it requires a slightly different way of thinking. Official dollarization
is a case in point. It is hard to conceive of a simpler m...