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Cumulative Effects of Family Formation on Late-Life Income of Women
Family Formation Late-Life Income Women
2016/3/18
How does rearing children affect women’s retirement income? Does engaging in care giving of other kin have an effect? While a full literature establishing the negative effects of children on women’s ...
Joint probabilistic projection of female and male life expectancy
autoregressive model Bayesian hierarchical model oldest old potential support ratio t distribution United Nations World Population Prospects
2014/11/26
Background: The United Nations (UN) produces population projections for all countries every two years. These are used by international organizations, governments, the private sector and researchers fo...
Cause-specific measures of life years lost
competing risks cumulative incidence life expectancy life years lost multiple decrement life-table
2014/11/25
Background: A new measure of the number of life years lost due to specific causes of death is introduced.Methods: This measure is based on the cumulative incidence of death, it does not require "indep...
Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands
Europe extrapolation Lee-Carter model Netherlands non-linear models smoking
2014/11/25
Background: With the rapid aging of the population, mortality forecasting becomes increasingly important, especially for the insurance and pension industries. However, a wide variety of projection met...
Working life gain from gain in old age life expectancy in India
elderly life expectancy old age dependency projections working life expectancy
2014/11/24
Background: It is important to evaluate the interaction between increasing life expectancy and changing age patterns in work participation from the perspective of planning for the greying population o...
Indigenous life expectancy in Sweden 1850-1899: Towards a long and healthy life?
colonization infant mortality life expectancy Sami
2014/11/24
Background: Previous research has shown that the health transition and demographical pattern of indigenous people has followed a different path compared to non-indigenous groups living in the same are...
Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies: A model averaging approach
Booth-Maindonald-Smith method functional data analysis Hyndman-Ullah method Lee-Carter method Lee-Miller method principal components analysis random walk with drift
2014/11/21
Background: Any improvement in the forecast accuracy of life expectancy would be beneficial for policy decision regarding the allocation of current and future resources. In this paper, I revisit some ...
How life expectancy varies with perturbations in age-specific mortality
life expectancy mortality pace of aging perturbation
2014/11/21
Background: A naturally arising question in demography is how a given change in mortality affects life expectancy. Scholars have targeted this question with different aims and from different perspecti...
Family ties and depression across the life course: An Overview
depression family ties life-course perspective mental well-being
2014/11/21
Background: Family ties in Europe are affected by demographic trends associated with parenting and partnering, such as a decline in fertility, an increase in childlessness, postponement of parenthood ...
Historical Addendum to "Life lived equals life left in stationary populations"
life expectancy mathematical demography stationary population
2014/11/20
This note provides some earlier history of the relationship given in FormalRelationships1, "Life left equals life lived in stationary populations," (Goldstein2009) and shows that while the expectation...
Survival as a Function of Life Expectancy
force of mortality life expectancy life table stationary population survival function
2009/12/23
It is well known that life expectancy can be expressed as an integral of the survival curve. The reverse - that the survival function can be expressed as an integral of life expectancy - is also tru...
How many years of life could be saved if malaria were eliminated from a hyperendemic area of northern Ghana
life malaria hyperendemic area northern Ghana
2009/9/14
Malaria is endemic in about 90 countries of the world, half of which are in Africa. Little is known about the demographic impact of the disease, however. This paper uses demographic methods to examine...
Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research Part 1：Education and first childbearing
anticipatory analysis conditioning on the future fertility by educational attainment
2008/12/12
http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol15/16/default.htmProcedures that seek to explain current behavior by future outcomes (anticipatory analysis) constitute a widespread but problematic appr...
Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research Part 2：Marriage and first birth
anticipatory analysis conditioning on the future intentionality marriage and first childbearing
2008/12/12
In the second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first childbearing to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis. We show that an anticipatory app...