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The purpose of this article is to report on a comparison of several alternative numerical solution techniques for nonlinear rational-expectations models. The comparison was made by asking individual...
This paper gives an excellent overview of the way that econometric models are used to help formulate monetary policy at the Federal Reserve Board. David Reifschneider, David Stockman, and David Wilc...
Using 1959D1991 growth rates for 449 4-digit US manufacturing industries, I test ÔideaÕ and Ôrival human capitalÕ models of endogenous growth. I Tnd the following: First, TFP growt...
华中科技大学投资学课件Chapter9 Single Index and Multifactor Models
This paper proposes a welfare criterion for economies in which agents have heterogeneously distorted beliefs. Instead of taking a stand on whose belief is correct, our criterion asserts an allocation...
Empirical estimates of monetary policy rules suggest that the behavior of U.S. monetary policymakers changed during the past few decades. However, for that same time period, statistical analyses of la...
The European Monetary Union raises new and interesting questions about the coordination of monetary and fiscal policy. In this lecture, I discuss some of these questions and the answers that a new cla...
In the setting proposed by Hughston & Rafailidis (2005) we consider general interest rate models in the case of a Brownian market information filtration (Ft)t0. Let X be a square-integrable F1-measur...
Macroscopic price evolution models are commonly used for investment strategies. There are first promising achievements in defining microscopic agent based models for the same purpose. Microscopic mode...
The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian di...
In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant.
The current research on credit risk is primarily focused on modeling default probabilities. Recovery rates are often treated as an afterthought; they are modeled independently, in many cases they are ...
We consider structural credit modeling in the important special case where the log-leverage ratio of the firm is a time-changed Brownian motion (TCBM) with the time-change taken to be an independent i...
This paper studies the valuation of a class of credit default swaps (CDSs) with the embedded option to switch to a different premium and notional principal anytime prior to a credit event. These are e...
We consider a heat kernel approach for the development of stochastic pricing kernels. The kernels are constructed by positive propagators, which are driven by time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. We m...

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